Valuation Analysis for Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX)

June 12, 2017, 11:30 am ET, BY Thomas H. Kee Jr- Editor, Stock Traders Daily| Editor: Thomas H. Kee Jr. (Follow on LinkedIn)

Valuing Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) can be difficult because the stock has a PE multiple of 200 times earnings and that opens the door for significant volatility without much derivation to the valuation conclusions.

However, earnings growth has recently been solid; earnings growth was over 137% last time and for calendar 2017 it is expected to be over 140%.  In 2018 the earnings growth is expected to decelerate but still be over 80%, so earnings are growing rapidly and expected to continue to grow rapidly.

Given that growth rate the high PE multiples do not look out of line and our peg ratio analysis supports the same.  Our evaluation is that fair value exists when a stock has a peg ratio somewhere between 0 and 1.5.  Currently, shares of Netflix have a peg ratio of 1.46, just below the upper end of our fair value boundary.

In addition, if earnings growth comes in as expected for 2017 that peg ratio is going to decline to 1.03, making Netflix more attractive.

Immediately, our fair value observation suggest that shares of Netflix are currently fairly valued and will only become more attractive on in earnings growth valuation basis if the company continues to meet analysts' expectations. 

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Support and Resistance Plot Chart for NFLX

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